News

Osinbajo: Why Nigeria should benefit more from its gas reserves

The use of gas as a transition fuel will not only help in stemming deforestation but advance Nigeria’s broader development goals, the Vice President, Prof. Yemi Osinbajo has said.

Stating that the country has one of the largest gas reserves in the world, he believes other developing countries will also benefit from the adoption of gas as a transition fuel.

Osinbajo stated this on Tuesday night when he received the U.S. Special Presidential Envoy on Climate Change, John Kerry, at the Presidential Villa in Abuja.

Kerry, who was on a working visit to Nigeria, had met with President Muhammadu Buhari prior to his meeting with Professor Osinbajo, the Vice President’s spokesman, Laolu Akande, said in a statement on Wednesday.

The Vice President, at the meeting with Kerry and the US delegation, highlighted the need for Nigeria to continue the exploration and use of gas as a way of arresting deforestation, transiting away from dirtier fuels like diesel, kerosene, and petrol, while at the same time ensuring that the country has the necessary energy baseload for industrialisation.

He pointed out that Nigeria has one of the largest gas reserves in the world and should benefit from its exploitation, and highlighted the significance of Nigeria’s Energy Transition Plan, which is the first in Africa.

Professor Osinbajo had discussed the Energy Transition Plan during his recent visit to Washington D.C., where he met with his American counterpart, Kamala Harris, at the White House, among other top US government officials.

Before the recent US trip, the Federal Government had launched the Energy Transition Plan at a global virtual event.

In addition to a review of the Energy Transition Plan, including a discussion about its implementation, both the Vice President and Kerry also discussed the issues of renewable energy sources and the global transition.

In his remarks, the US envoy praised the plan and the efforts already being made in Nigeria to step up the use of renewables, especially solar and hydropower, as major components of the energy mix.

While acknowledging that Nigeria ought to benefit from its gas reserves, Kerry urged an even more rapid adoption of renewables, especially electric vehicles which are certainly the next wave in auto manufacturing.

He observed that the technology of renewables keeps improving daily, adding that batteries are already in production which last far more than those that are now on the market.

Upon a request by the Vice President, the Special Envoy promised to assist Nigeria with the necessary expertise to scientifically determine the most appropriate energy mix that would move the country toward the goal of energy for all by 2030 and net zero carbon emissions by 2060, without compromising the country’s energy security.

He also affirmed the readiness of the US government to assist Nigeria in a bilateral partnership to realise its climate change adaptation and resilience capacity, thereby consolidating the nation’s place as a model for other countries on the planet.

Kerry said he looked forward to Nigeria presenting an inspiring position, which would no doubt attract all necessary global support at the upcoming COP 27 in Egypt later in the year.

He was accompanied by other US officials, including the American Ambassador to Nigeria, Ms Mary Beth Leonard.

News Power

NNPC, TotalEnergies commission model school project in Makurdi

The Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited, NNPCL, TotalEnergies, operators of OML 130 and partners,SAPETRO, CNOOC & PRIME 130, have constructed and commissioned a model secondary school project at Government College, Makurdi in Benue State as part of their corporate social responsibilities to different communities in Nigeria.

The two floors model secondary school sits on 2,500m2 and is expected to provide the students access to modern-day learning and science experimentation tools.

The school facility is powered by an integrated power supply system consisting of a 35kva solar power generating system, and one 50kva soundproof generator to ensure continuous power supply.

In his welcome address, the Chief Upstream Investment Officer of the NNPC Upstream Investment Management Services, Mr. Bala Wunti, who was represented by Mrs Bunmi Lawson said that the project was part of efforts to mitigate various identified gaps.

He noted that the projects aligned with sustainable development goals, adding that the partners would continue to champion the implementation of SDGs.

“These projects were borne out of the need to mitigate the various identified gaps in line with the relevant Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). We will continue to consistently champion the implementation of Sustainable Community Development projects that will positively impact the lives of the citizens of this Country.”

Managing Director of TotalEnergies EP Nigeria Limited, Mike Sangster, who was represented by Mr. Lucky Deekor, revealed that in line with his company’s commitment to promoting youth education, TotalEnergies believe that the school project will provide students access to modern-day learning, science experimentation tools and ignite their interest in the study of the STEM courses.

Giving an overview of the project, Sangster said that the school project includes a well-designed administrative block with furnished offices, a sick bay, a first aid room and storage facilities.

“The project we are commissioning today includes all the necessary components for a modern school. These include a well-designed administrative block with 4 fully furnished offices, a sick bay, and a first aid room with all its appurtenances and storage facilities.

“Among other great features, the main school block has 2 floors, 10 offices for teachers and technical rooms, 12 furnished classrooms, 5 cutting-edge science laboratories, two libraries and 1 fully equipped ICT laboratory.

The principal of Government College, Makurdi, Mrs. Aumbur Agena, thanked Total Energies and all other partners for their support in the building of the facility, adding that the intervention to build the facility will provide a better learning environment for the students.

“I thank NNPCL, TotalEnergies and their partners for finding the school worthy to be part of the CSR project. Their commitment to the completion of the project is commendable. The project will solve one of our big problems: providing a better learning environment for the students. I also appeal to the government of Benue state to provide us with a school bus for easy student commute.”

News Production

2023 budget threatened, as Nigeria’s crude oil output drops 7.4% to 1.37mb/d

Nigeria’s dwindling average oil output, including condensate, dropped Year-on-Year, YoY, by 7.4 per cent to 1.37 million barrels per day, mb/d in the first 10 months (January – October) 2022, from 1.48 mb/d in the corresponding period of 2021.

This showed a shortfall of 317,940 barrels when juxtaposed against the 1.69 mb/d which the 2023 budget was based on at $70 per barrel.

However, on Month-on-Month, MoM, the average oil output increased by 7.8 per cent to 1.23 mb/d in October 2022, from 1.14 mb/d, recorded in the preceding month of September 2022.

Oil theft, others

The Nigerian Upstream Petroleum Regulatory Commission, NUPRC, which disclosed this in its monthly Oil Production Status Reports, obtained by Vanguard, weekend, did not specify the cause of the trend.

But checks by Vanguard, yesterday, attributed it to prolonged pipeline vandalism, oil theft, and illegal refining in the Niger Delta.

It indicated that pipeline vandalism, oil theft and illegal refining would still continue next year, despite the efforts of stakeholders, especially the government and oil companies, to tackle them.

Case of Shell

In its briefing notes obtained by Vanguard, Shell, the biggest International Oil Company, IoC, in Nigeria, stated: “Shell companies in Nigeria have a track record of strong production. But in 2021, the combined production from the SPDC JV and SNEPCo (Bonga) fell to 493,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day from 614,000 in 2020.

“The SPDC JV produced 383,000 barrels of oil equivalent in 2021, compared with 497,000 barrels of oil equivalent in 2020. The fall in output was largely as a result of curtailed oil production because of heightened security issues, such as crude oil theft and illegal oil refining.

”Production numbers were also down as a result of divestment action, including the sale of SPDC’s 30% interest in OML 17 for $533 million.

“In the last quarter of 2021, crude oil theft from pipelines across the region increased ostensibly as a result of rising oil prices, which made the activity more profitable. Security risks have heightened and production in some areas has been put on hold.

”The situation is impacting operators across the Niger Delta. The Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation, NNPC, has reported that crude thefts in 2021 reached 200,000 barrels per day – a quarter of onshore production.”

Oil market

The checks also showed that although the Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries, OPEC, interventions would make a positive impact, the global oil market would continue to record instability in 2023 and beyond, thereby impacting negatively the economy of nations, including Nigeria.

In its October 2022 Monthly Oil Market Report, MOMR, obtained by Vanguard, OPEC painted a picture of an uncertain oil market when it stated: “For 2023, world oil demand growth is revised down to stand at about 2.3 mb/d.

“Uncertainty about the geopolitical situation remains high, and there is potential for further US shale liquid production.”

Experts

However, commenting on the development, the National President of Oil and Gas Service providers Association of Nigeria, OGSPAN, Colman Obasi, said: “The government and other stakeholders have not done enough to address the various issues currently affecting the nation’s oil production.

”A lot can still be done, including the use of modern technologies, to monitor the nation’s oil and gas assets in the Niger Delta.”

Obasi, who attributed the vices partly to massive unemployment and desperation on the part of the youth to make a living, said: “If concerted efforts were made to industrialise Niger Delta, there would probably be no crude oil theft and devastation of the region. Oil theft has been with us for decades and seems to be gaining momentum.”

Similarly, Executive Director, Emmanuel Egbogah Foundation, Prof. Wunmi Iledare, said: “It seems the price of crude is demand determined. The likelihood to attain and sustain that output in 2023 is less likely. At best, that output may even be the potential because of insecurity, divestment, and onshore basin maturity.”

News

Oil, gas data businesses to hit $145.9 billion

Data business in the oil and gas sector could hit as much as $145.9 billion by 2032, rising at a compound yearly growth rate of 16.5 per cent for the next decade.

This is coming despite the divestment and push from fossil fuel. The current market value of data in the oil and gas sector stands at $31.6 billion.

The report released by Future Market Insights and published by WorldOil, noted that operational efficiency and performance improvement increased the popularity of real-time analysis and predictive analytics solutions. It also increased awareness among end-users. Those are all considered major growth factors for the data business in the oil & gas industry.

The report revealed that the outbreak of Covid-19 triggered big data analytics in oil and gas operations allowing engineers and researchers to study data remotely.

It also noted that data recording sensors have recently become a recent introduction to the industry for various features such as discovery, drilling, production, refining, and transportation, where big data has become an essential part of data analysis, which is expected to be a driving factor for the demand for data business in oil & gas.

Big data also allow for better asset management, operations, manufacturing, and worker safety. However, big data analytics continue to confront hurdles owing to a lack of corporate backing and awareness of the technology; data and a grasp of the problem’s complexity are key stumbling blocks to the growth of the data business in the oil & gas market share.

The precision and efficiency of big data have led to its acceptance in the oil and gas industry.

It helps the oil and gas industry improve the performance of drilling and production activities. It improves the company’s efficiency and keeps track of the oil extraction activities in real-time.

It is offered in software, hardware, and cloud service platforms to deliver the best data collection service to oil and gas organisations.

Furthermore, advances in data gathering allow for the incorporation of machine learning and artificial intelligence (AI) technologies that safeguard data by allowing for secure data storage and collection. It aids industries in increasing productivity and increasing yearly revenues, hence increasing global demand for data business in oil & gas.

As per the data business in oil & gas market study, manufacturers all over the world are producing big high-quality data in oil and gas services that reduce data inconsistencies, resulting in data business in oil & gas market growth. As a result, these variables may contribute to the rise of big data in the oil and gas business.

However, a lack of public understanding of the numerous benefits of big data in oil and gas solutions is expected to stymie the data business in oil & gas market size expansion.

The oil and gas industry’s increasing output and drilling performance is a major data business driver in the oil & gas market. Other factors driving market expansion include the need to improve decision-making and operational and business performance, as well as volatile oil prices and growing competition in the oil and gas industry.

News

Niger Delta minister says region contributes 80% of nation’s resources

Minister of State for Niger Delta Affairs, Sen. Omotayo Alasoadura, has said the region contributes over 80 per cent of the nation’s resources and about 95 per cent of foreign exchange earnings.

Alasoadura, who stated this yesterday in Texas, United States of America (USA) while speaking on investment opportunities in the Niger Delta Region, told the audience that over 95 per cent of oil and gas activities in Nigeria take place in the Niger Delta.

According to the minister, the region is home to three refineries, a liquefied natural gas plant, a petrochemical complex, a steel plant and an aluminium smelting company and a large fertiliser company.

“Furthermore, the region hosts a number of oil-servicing companies, in addition to the oil majors operating in the area and some local oil exploration companies. It also has an Export Processing Zone and an Oil and Gas Free Zone. He added.

Alasoadura further disclosed that the region warehouses massive oil and gas deposits with average productivity of about 2.5 million barrels per day, including condensates.

“Today, the total recoverable reserves of oil and gas are estimated at about 34.5 billion barrels and 93.8 trillion cubic meters, respectively, he added.

He said the aim of the summit is to forge international economic cooperation for investment in the Niger Delta, adding that the summit will help to build institutional exchanges and promote foreign direct investments.

According to him, it is also an opportunity for Nigeria to explore avenues for the diversification of the economy as well as the provision of an effective bilateral opportunity between the private and public sectors of both nations.

With the summit, the minister noted that the nation stands a chance to attract investors and investments from the USA into the economy.

Source: Guardian 

News

Oil giant Shell strikes deal to buy power from ‘world’s largest offshore wind farm’

Shell said Wednesday it had signed a deal to purchase power from a development dubbed “the world’s largest offshore wind farm.”

The 15-year power purchase agreement relates to 240 megawatts from Dogger Bank C, the third and final phase of the 3.6 gigawatt Dogger Bank Wind Farm, which will be located in waters off the coast of northeast England.

The agreement builds upon a previous deal to purchase 480 MW from Dogger Bank A and B, meaning that its combined offtake will amount to 720 MW.

On Wednesday, Dogger Bank Wind Farm announced it had also agreed 15-year power purchase agreements for Dogger Bank C with Centrica Energy Marketing & Trading, SSE Energy Supply Limited and Danske Commodities.

“The commercial power agreements provide a route to sell the green energy generated by the third phase of the wind farm into the GB electricity market when it enters commercial operation,” it said.

Dogger Bank A and B represents a joint venture between Equinor, SSE Renewables and Eni, with the companies holding stakes of 40%, 40% and 20% respectively.

This month, it was announced Eni would also acquire a 20% stake in Dogger Bank C, with Equinor and SSE Renewables each holding on to a share of 40%. This deal is slated for completion in the first quarter of 2022.

“Once the three phases are complete, which is expected by March 2026, Dogger Bank will be the largest offshore wind farm in the world,” Dogger Bank Wind Farm says.

Despite making deals related to renewable energy, Shell remains a major player in oil and gas. It has pledged to become a net-zero emissions energy firm by 2050.

In February, the business confirmed its total oil production had peaked in 2019 and said it expected its total carbon emissions to have peaked in 2018, at 1.7 metric gigatons per year.

In a landmark ruling earlier this year, a Dutch court ordered Shell to take much more aggressive action to drive down its carbon emissions and reduce them by 45% by 2030 from 2019 levels.

The verdict was thought to be the first time in history a company has been legally obliged to align its policies with the 2015 Paris Agreement. Shell is appealing the ruling, a move that has been sharply criticized by climate activists.

In October, billionaire activist investor Dan Loeb called on the business to break up into multiple companies to strengthen its performance and market value.

Shell acknowledged Loeb’s letter to clients calling for the company to split, saying it “regularly reviews and evaluates the Company’s strategy with a focus on generating shareholder value. As part of this ongoing process, Shell welcomes open dialogue with all shareholders, including Third Point.”

More recently, in mid-November, Shell said it would move its head offices to the U.K. from the Netherlands, and ditch its dual share structure. Under these plans, the firm’s name would change from Royal Dutch Shell plc to Shell plc.

“The simplification will normalise our share structure under the tax and legal jurisdictions of a single country and make us more competitive,” Andrew Mackenzie, the company’s chair, said at the time.

Source: CNBC

Industry News

FG insists Nigeria on track towards investment in oil, gas sector

Projected to hit $53 trillion by 2025, the global Environmental Social and Governance (ESG) assets can provide leeway for most oil and gas projects in Nigeria, especially the private and public sector, to address inherent hindrances.

Across the world, investors are now shifting attention to ESG, applying the non-financial factors as part of the key analysis process to identify material risks and growth opportunities.

A report published by Bloomberg had noted that global ESG assets are on track to exceed $53 trillion by 2025, representing more than a third of the $140.5 trillion in projected total assets under management.

Just last month, the International Energy Agency (IEA) had called for an end to fossil fuel investment as part of an attempt to ensure net-zero ambition becomes a reality by 2050. Although stakeholders in the oil and gas sector have criticised the call, it, however, sent a negative signal to the industry, which has already witnessed about a five per cent reduction in investment due to the Covid-19 pandemic.

Nigeria, with elusive governance, regulatory and fiscal outlook has over $160 billion projects yet to see Final Investment Decisions in the upstream segment.

Across Africa, the African Refiner and Distributor Association (ARDA) puts needed funds for refinery upgrade alone at $15.7 billion while an additional $7.5 billion investment, inclusive of debt, equity, and grants, will be required to build clean cooking stoves and downstream infrastructure that are going to support the attainment of the UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs).

Business Development experts for Vitol Services Ltd, Richard Egan, and Guillaume Quigiver, noted that ESG creates a new opportunity for African countries to generate carbon credits.

According to them, Africa has the lowest cost of generating carbon credits in the world and as such, a case should be made for a framework whereby African carbon emissions submissions are accepted in the global marketplace, stressing “ESG brings new potential revenue streams that can be incorporated into a financing package.”

Financial experts have also stated that ESG considerations are currently driving shifts in lending policies for various financial institutions and under what terms they are willing to lend, adding that while several key financial institutions like the World Bank and several Export Credit Agencies (ECAs) have pledged to end support for fossil fuel projects, Asian ECAs and some European ECAs have not made any such policy proclamations.

With the Petroleum Industry Bill (PIB) already being prepared in anticipation of presidential assent as stakeholders are divided over proper consideration for ESG, energy economist, Prof. Wunmi Iledare insisted that ESG must be on the radar of the industry as an important determinant for future investment flow.

Iledare said: “The oil and gas industry in Nigeria is not anti-environmental optimisation,” adding that the Society of Petroleum Engineers makes conscious efforts to produce oil and gas in a safe and environmentally secure manner.

According to him, for years, Health, Safety, Environment, and sustainability is a recognized discipline in the Petroleum Engineering profession.

Industry expert, Henry Adigun equally told The Guardian that although ESG is not at its best in the PIB, there are conscious efforts in the country to prioritise ESG.

He noted that the country is making efforts to attract green bonds, adding that the focus on gas would be an elixir towards ESG investment.

News Power

Operators advise government against imposing VAT on cooking gas

The Oil and Gas Service Providers Association of Nigeria, OGSPAN, has urged the Federal Government not to impose the Value Added Tax (VAT) on Liquefied Petroleum Gas (LPG), otherwise known as cooking gas.

According to OGSPAN, the planned imposition of VAT on LPG would stifle demand, utilisation, investment and growth of the sector in the country.

The National President, OGSPAN, Mazi Colman Obasi in a statement, stated: “As a stakeholder in the sector, we were delighted when the Federal Government, previously excluded operators in the LPG sector from paying the VAT.

“We were even more delighted when it declared January 1, 2021, to December 31, 2030, as ‘The Decade of Gas Development for Nigeria’ with emphasis on LPG.

“Specifically, the official launch of THE DECADE OF GAS was declared by the President of Nigeria, His Excellency Muhammadu Buhari GCFR, on Monday, 29th March 2021, also recognised 2021 as a Year of Gas.

“However, having taken these steps, we were shocked to learn that the Federal Government is currently considering imposing VAT, targeted at increasing its revenue.”

According to OGSPAN, a Presidential directive was issued July 11, 2005, to remove VAT on LPG. But the approved memo erroneously had the word “import” left on it, because at the time imports were the only source of gas.

He explained that this meant that the Federal Inland Revenue Service (FIRS) charged VAT on locally produced LPG but there was no output VAT, so the VAT cost was absorbed as a loss by industry players.

He noted that Industry operators fought for 14 years to reverse this situation and the Minister of Finance, finally removed the VAT on “domestically produced gas” under a gazette issued in 2019, thus stopping the FIRS from charging VAT on LPG under a loophole that was created in error.

“The FIRS itself under several subsequent letters advised companies that neither input nor output VAT was payable on LPG in line with other petroleum products. Industry operators and experts had warned at the time that insertion of the phrase “locally produced” in front of LPG would lead to the reverse case through this legal loophole and yet again, another round of needless quagmire.

“Experts have repeatedly pointed out that of all the petroleum products listed in that gazette, why was LPG singled out for the phrase “locally produced?” Why not gasoline, and diesel, which we don’t produce and yet import over 100 times more quantity than LPG.

“The FGN recently launched a drive for Autogas using LPG/propane. How can the gas industry grow Autogas when VAT is applied to increase gas cost but a humongous tax subsidy remains on the competing gasoline/PMS? Who is going to switch when gas prices are increasing as a result of this needless tax?’

“For too long, the LPG sector had suffered from many problems, including policy inconsistency, inadequate funding, and low domestic utilisation, which needs to be fully addressed by the current administration”, he added.

He also disclosed that the planned introduction of VAT on LPG could culminate in the reversal of gains already made in the Federal Government Gas Expansion Programme, targeted at achieving rapid development of the sector.

According to him, while a litre of government subsidised petrol, under extant price regime, actually retails for between N165 and N200 per litre, depending on different parts of the country, the average deregulated retail price per litre of LPG delivered to Abuja – FCT falls between N100/Litre for propane specification to N195/Litre for butane specification.

“The cheaper of the two, being Propane spec LPG, is the industry-approved standard for Autogas in Nigeria, which portends huge savings for families and businesses.

“Autogas use with deep market penetration with a reasonable switch from PMS and AGO will save Nigeria huge foreign exchange spend on fuel importation; expand Nigeria’s domestic energy mix with improved accessibility for LPG as a cleaner and cheaper energy source with multiple applicable uses.

“This will in great measure help the consumers especially the low-income Nigerian families with their fast-eroding purchasing power in an increasingly difficult economic environment.

“Apart from savings on the unit price per litre or kg of gas, there is also much savings on gas, with respect to engine servicing and overall maintenance cost, compared to petrol or diesel engine maintenance cost. And it is environmentally friendlier than petrol and diesel, in terms of greenhouse gas emissions”, he said.

He added: “Autogas use will help trigger the much-needed demand intensive use of gas, with the multiplier benefit effect on improved in-country production and supply sources, with the attendant reduction in gas flaring, with a marked increase in foreign direct investments in LPG production plants, trading and distribution infrastructure and equipment manufacturing in Nigeria, which has been on the decline in recent years.”

News Power

FG attracts $16.6 billion foreign investments to trade zones in 20 years

The Oil and Gas Free Trade Zones Authority has stated that it attracted $16.6bn foreign direct investment into the economy within a 20-year period spanning 2001 to 2020.

During the same period, the Authority also attracted N255.33bn local investments into the country.

The Managing Director of OGFZA, Okon Umana, disclosed this during an interview with journalists in Abuja, on Sunday.

He added that between January and May this year, OGFZA generated N9.41bn as revenue through the free trade zones.

A breakdown of the revenue revealed that N2.1bn was generated in January, while February, March, April and May had N1.45bn, N4.39bn, N1bn and N453.98m respectively.

He said this was achieved through dedicated leadership as well as the commitment and exceptional quality of members of staff of the authority.

This, he stated, had resulted in huge interests by both local and foreign investors in the zones.

The OGFZAs boss stated that currently, there were about N6.1bn investments that were expected to materialise in the Liberty Oil and Gas Free Zone.

He said: “To grow investment also means looking at the structures within our zones because as I said, you can only attract Foreign Direct Investment if you are globally competitive.

“We took a number of steps; we reviewed our standard of operation, and we came out with a timeline for delivery of our services.

“For example, in the past, we did not have a specific timeline for renewal of licence or to reissue new licences or even to process cargos.

“We came up with specific timelines – we say for example that we will take only 48 hours to clear cargos if the cargos were consigned in Free Zones.

“It will take seven days to renew the licence when all the requirements have been met and 21 days to issue a new licence under the same circumstances.”

In terms of job creation, the OGFZA boss stated that the investments have been able to unlock many direct and indirect jobs thereby empowering many Nigerians.

He said between 2005 and 2015, the authority had created 40,508 direct jobs and indirect jobs with conservative estimates at about 160,000.

He said, “These incentives are applied for activities within zones meaning that when they move items from the zone to any other place, all the taxes will be applied.”

Umana added that between 2005 and 2015, the authority created 40,508 direct jobs with indirect jobs conservatively estimated at 160,000.

News

Nigeria’s oil output drops 11.47% to 1.343mbpd in Q2 – OPEC

Nigeria’s oil output dropped by 11.47 per cent year-on-year, YoY, in the second quarter of 2021 (Q2’21).

But the decline also showed significant under-production against the quota, Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries, (OPEC) data have shown.

In its July 2021 Monthly Oil Market Report (MOMR), obtained by LEADERSHIP, OPEC disclosed that on the average, the nation produced 1.343 million barrels per day in Q2’21 compared to 1.517 mb/d produced in Q2’20. This also compares negatively with the OPEC quota of 1.4 mb/d.

Specifically, the report has it that the country produced 1.372 mb/d, 1.344 mb/d and 1.313 mb/d, in April, May and June, 2021 respectively, compared to 1.705 mb/d, 1.436 mb/d and 1.411 mb/d, produced in the corresponding months of 2020.

At the Q2’21 average output the country requires about 500 mb/d output of condensate to meet its 2021 budgetary target of 1.8 mb/d. But currently the estimated condensate output is put at 400 mb/d, indicating a likely significant shortfall.

However, the shortfall may not affect revenue estimates since the 2021 oil revenue was based on oil price of $40 per barrel, while actual price in recent weeks have hovered above $70 per barrel.

Meanwhile the OPEC report, which painted a bright prospect for the oil market in the remaining part of 2021, stated: “World oil demand growth in 2021 is forecast at 6.0 mb/d, unchanged from last month’s assessment, although there have been some regional revisions. Total oil demand is projected to average 96.6 mb/d.

“The Q1’21 was revised lower, amid slower than anticipated demand in the main Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD), OECD consuming countries. This was counter-balanced by better-than-expected data from OECD Americas in Q2’21, which is now projected to last through the Q3’21.

“Solid expectations exist for global economic growth in 2022. These include improved containment of COVID-19, particularly in emerging and developing countries, which are forecast to spur oil demand to reach pre-pandemic levels in 2022.”

Meanwhile, Nigeria’s crude oil exports fell by a whopping 41.9 per cent year-on-year in the first quarter of 2021. This is according to data contained in the Central Bank of Nigeria’s balance of payment report.

Nigeria received in its current account, crude oil and gas export proceeds of $6.48 billion in the first quarter of 2021 compared to $11.1 billion in the corresponding period in 2020. It also represents a 16.4 per cent drop when compared to the $7.7 billion recorded in the 4th quarter of 2020.

Crude oil and gas export proceeds of $54.5 billion in 2019 made up about 84 per cent of the government’s export earnings. However, crude oil and gas exports declined to $31.4 billion in 2020 as Covid-19 pandemic triggered a global economic lockdown crashing oil prices to below zero in the second quarter of 2020.

OPEC member countries have had to endure year-long collective crude oil cuts to help limit supplies, shoring up prices. While this has contributed to the stabilisation of oil prices, member countries have seen their revenues plummet as they cannot push out as much volumes as they would have preferred.

Nigeria is currently pegged to an export volume of about 1.4 million barrels per day, remarkably less than the 1.8 million barrels per day production volume that it has averaged over the years and a far cry from its 2.5 million barrels per day production capacity.

According to a presentation on the 2021 budget performance by Nigeria’s minister of finance, Dr Zainab Ahmed, Nigeria has abided by the OPEC+ cut despite this production capacity.

However, crude oil production is projected to increase to 1.86 million barrels per day in 2021, as economies recover from the recession, and moderated by OPEC+ quota agreements, as stated by the minister of finance.

It is worth noting that, apart from the decline in Nigeria’s crude oil production, earnings were also affected by the inability of India to buy as much crude from Nigeria.

 

Source: Leadership